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  05-Feb-2012 17:15 GMT  

A Bunch of Fives

So when all is said and done we translate the number of times a ball has landed in the back of a net, past and present, and somehow work out why it was so obviously going to be so and what will happen in the future!! That’s the unenviable task of our resident expert Professor Statto, Nobel Prize Winner in waiting, who’s been explaining the meaning of football life and giving comfort to his followers for years.

He’ll tell you why your predictions were bound to be wrong. He’ll tell you about the most outrageous possibilities to come. He’ll tell you…But whatever he says remember:

“98% of all statistics are made up.” ~Author Unknown

Professor Statto and his amazing statistics.

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Previous analysis

Week 1.... Scenesetter

Hello again Pals,

May I firstly say a special welcome to those of you who are flying the flag for Indonesia, Antigua, Botswana, Ethiopia and the other 30 odd other countries in Score Five’s own Olympics. I think you’d agree that our event is a Marathon, but a few of you have set off like sprinters.

This week, I was going to focus on the magic number Zero, but the truly staggering events of last weekend made me instead think in millions. Those of you who have perused the scores of your fellow players will have noticed that some unbelievable predictions came true, and I’m not thinking here of Anvy and Cbrams9 foreseeing that Man Utd. and Newcastle would draw 1-1, (though well done to the pair of you).

Consider this: at the end of Saturday’s seven games, the remarkable Katona777 from Hungary, in Public League #1, had all seven correct match scores. That’s scores, folks, not just results! Only a whisker behind was Simoscy of Cyprus and Public League #1, who got the first six scores right and the correct result in the seventh! 

For an encore, on Sunday, Simoscy nailed the coupon-busting Man Utd. match score to join Katona777 with seven Perfect 5’s. Both players finished the weekend with nine correct results, and they’re separated at the top of the leader board by just 1 point, courtesy of Simoscy getting one more team score correct. If you want to see the evidence, click on the link to the Top 10 just above your League table.

In case you’re wondering, “How special is this?” the Score Five Supremo, after checking that no-one had hacked into the system after full-time, contacted one of the top internet betting companies in London to get their verdict… The chances of predicting the first seven results correctly were 3,167,099 to 1. Three expletive-deleted millions! As for the (relatively) simple matter of getting nine results right (all except Chelsea v Portsmouth), that was a mere 1,733-1. In layman’s terms, that means you could forecast the Prem results every week for the next 45 years before getting those nine right. Blimey!

In any other week, the excellent scores of the Gaffer and Bertie would merit headlines, but this week, they’re the equivalent of Silver Medallists. Nevertheless, be proud, guys.

So, the first Score Five single-week records have been established. Even though it’s early days, I’ll stick my neck out and say we won’t see anyone get 40 points in a weekend again this season, or perhaps any season. Seven Perfect Fives is now the Olympic qualifying mark.

We’ve already got a competition going among the fans. A bit of digging into the high scorers reveals that Liverpool supporters are, for now at least, No. 1 predictors among the Big 4, with Nobbystyle and Titian making the top dozen together with Simoscy. We’ve two Chelsea fans (Varora and what-a-giveaway Big Phil’s Blue And White Army) but only one each from Man U and Arsenal.

Does where you live make a difference? Note that Cyprus Borough from the Smoggy-fans League, is another in the Top 10. Is there something in the air in Cyprus? There is in Middlesbrough, cough splutter, but let’s forget that…. Congratulations, you ’Boro fans who backed your team to pick up the points v Spurs. Same again this weekend away at the ’Pool?

By the way, in case you are curious about the uniformity of some players’ predictions, Mr. Score Five kindly inserted Magic Mike’s predictions as default scores under the new Five Lives enhancement for those of you who were on holiday or otherwise unable to get your predictions in. You can’t benefit from this feature indefinitely, so get cracking…

For those of you who did make the effort, the average score was 14-15 including one Perfect Five.

As I mentioned recently, the Obvious Result isn’t always obvious. Last weekend, we saw Blackburn, Hull and Newcastle upsetting the favourites apple cart. It was 45-1 against the Rovers winning 2-3 at Goodison. Man U was 2/7 to beat the Magpies. Where will the surprises be this weekend? I don’t see a single non-Obvious one. More importantly, neither does Magic Mike whose respectable  5 results last week were eclipsed! by our European soothsayers. Maybe we should call Simoscy and Katona777 for advice. Hmm…

Good luck all for the weekend - though clearly, some of you don’t need it.

Regards,

Prof. Statto

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